Odds, prediction, Mets line vs. Marlins: 2022 MLB picks, Friday June 24, best bets from a proven blueprint

The New York Mets visit the Miami Marlins for a National League East Division matchup on Friday. The Mets enjoyed a day off Thursday before traveling to Florida for a weekend set. New York is 45-26 overall in 2022 but is coming off a three-game losing streak. Miami is 32-36 and riding a three-game winning streak.

The first pitch is at 6:40 pm ET in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as a -140 favorite (risk $140 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or the total number of runs Vegas believes will be scored, is 7.5 in the last Odds Mets vs. Marlins. Before making any choice between the Marlins and Mets, you should check out the MLB predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. He’s on a 56-47 streak in MLB’s top money line picks for 11 weeks. Anyone who has followed him has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set his sights on Mets vs. Marlins, and simply pinned his MLB picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to check out the model picks. Here are various MLB odds and betting lines for Marlins vs. Mets:

  • Mets money line vs. Marlins: Marlins -140, Mets +120
  • Mets vs. Marlins over-under: 7.5 runs
  • Mets vs. Racing Line Marlins: Marlins -1.5 (+160)
  • Mets Tickets vs. Marlins: View tickets on StubHub
  • NYM: Mets are 25-15 in night games
  • MIA: Marlins are 18-21 in night games

featured game | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

Why you should support the Mets

New York is the better offensive team in this matchup. In fact, the Mets lead the National League in several key categories, including hits (625), batting average (.261), on-base percentage (.332) and triples (16). New York enters the weekend with the most runs scored (353) in the National League, and the Mets rank in the top five in the league in strikeout avoidance, OPS and slugging percentage. New York can also take comfort in its starting pitcher on Friday, with former All-Star Taijuan Walker taking the ball. He has a 2.48 ERA in his last six starts and a 2.88 ERA on the season.

Walker recently limited the Marlins to just one run in 6.2 innings and has a 3.11 ERA on the road in 2022. New York’s bullpen is solid with a 3.68 ERA and a 10.23 strikeout rate per nine innings, and the Miami’s offense is well below average on the aggregate. The Marlins rank near the bottom of the NL in doubles and walks, with below-average marks in runs scored, hits, strikeouts, on-base percentage and OPS this season.

Why you should support the Marlins

Run prevention should be a significant strength for Miami on Friday behind Sandy Alcantara’s arm. The talented right-hander is a former All-Star and has a 1.72 ERA this season. Alcantara leads the NL in both innings pitched (99.1) and hits allowed (6.1 per nine innings), and he has a 0.96 WHIP this season. Opponents are averaging just 0.4 homers per nine innings with a .545 OPS against Alcantara, and he generates 3.21 strikeouts per walk.

At home, Alcantara has a 1.36 ERA, and he threw eight innings of one-run ball against the Mets in his last outing. New York’s offense has been effective this season, but the Mets have shortcomings offensively. The visitors are below the NL average in doubles (107), home runs (66) and walks (221), with a mark in the bottom five in the NL with just 27 stolen bases this season.

How to Make Marlins vs. Mets Picks

SportsLine’s model leans on the total, projecting 8.3 combined runs. It also says that one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks on SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Marlins? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed your MLB picks, and find out.

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